102 comments
282 forecasters
Alexander Lukashenko to remain president of Belarus on January 31st, 2021?
99%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 2, 2020
Closes:Jan 31, 2021
Resolved:Feb 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 3, 2020
When will Alexander Lukashenko leave power in Belarus?
20 Jun 2029
(26 Nov 2026 - Aug 2032)
20 Jun 2029
(26 Nov 2026 - Aug 2032)
115 forecasters
Will Belarus become a EU candidate country before 2030?
0.5% chance
79
Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?
40% chance
91