Question

Will the New START nuclear arms control agreement be extended or replaced by its expiration on February 5th 2021?

Resolved:Yes
13
20
Total Forecasters53
Community Prediction
70%
(65% - 79%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 70%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
51.6
Community Peer Score
24.6
Authors:
tetraspace
Opened:Aug 10, 2020
Closes:Nov 29, 2020
Resolves:Jan 27, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 12, 2020
Geopolitics
2020 Leaderboard