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14 comments
93 forecasters

Will Joe Biden and Donald Trump participate in a 2020 presidential debate against each other?

94%chance
94%chance
ResolvedYes
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 94% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Authors:
maxsklar
Opened:Aug 15, 2020
Closes:Sep 15, 2020
Resolved:Sep 30, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 16, 2020
Politics
🏆 2020 Leaderboard
Daily Mail logo
Kamala Harris twists the knife into Joe Biden with brutal account of his doomed debate prep: 'Something was off'
Daily Mail•Oct 31, 2025
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Kamala Harris Reveals that Biden Never Wanted to Debate Trump in 2024
Townhall•Oct 31, 2025
FOX News logo
Kamala Harris suggests Biden 'didn't want' debate against Trump, says 'something was a little off'
FOX News•Oct 31, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will no debates be held between the actual or presumptive presidential nominees of the two major parties in the following US elections?

2021-2022
Annulled
2023-2024
No
2025-2026
Annulled
1 other
11 forecasters

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2029?

5% chance
122

Will three or more competitive Senate or governor races hold no general election debates in the following years?

2021-2022
No
2023-2024
No
2025-2026
30%
1 other
8 forecasters
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