Question
When will traviswfisher be unseated on the Metaculus leaderboard?
Resolved:03 Nov 2020 10:50Total Forecasters41
Community Prediction
15 Nov 2020
(17 Oct 2020 - 22 Dec 2020)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 17 Oct 2020 | — |
| median | 15 Nov 2020 | — |
| upper 75% | 22 Dec 2020 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Aug 2030 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?03 Nov 2020 10:50
Community Baseline Score
14.0
Community Peer Score
4.8
Authors:
Opened:Aug 10, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 12, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Aug 10, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 12, 2020