15 comments
214 forecasters
Will Lebanon come under French rule again before 2025?
0.1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
Opened:Aug 13, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolved:Jan 2, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 15, 2020
Before June 2027, will a top-level French official publicly state that France will adopt a Sixth Republic?
7% chance
18
Will French president Emmanuel Macron call another snap legislative election before 2026?
40% chance
182
Will Syria be partitioned into new, internationally recognized sovereign states before 2040?
12% chance
15