Question
When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?
Total Forecasters85
Community Prediction
Oct 2034
(14 Sep 2029 - Mar 2045)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 14 Sep 2029 | — |
| median | Oct 2034 | — |
| upper 75% | Mar 2045 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2049 | 21.4% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 13, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 15, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Aug 13, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 15, 2020
