12 comments
92 forecasters
Will Edward Snowden receive a federal pardon by January 20th 2021?
15%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 15% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 18, 2020
Closes:Dec 1, 2020
Resolved:Jan 20, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 19, 2020
Will at least 10 individuals affiliated with the U.S. president receive a presidential pardon or commutation in the following years?
44 forecasters
Will Donald Trump pardon anyone involved in these cases of political violence during his second term?
18 forecasters
Will George Santos receive a pardon or commutation?
33.3% chance
12