15 comments
37 forecasters
Will a high profile criminal investigation take down a "hidden website" on the Tor Network during 2021?
75%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 75% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 25, 2020
Closes:Sep 1, 2021
Resolved:Jan 12, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 26, 2020
Will senior DOJ leaders override normal procedures to open or accelerate a case against a high-profile presidential opponent or critic in the following years?
7 forecasters
Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?
11% chance
155
Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?
97 forecasters