21 comments
120 forecasters
Will there be an authentic leaked tape that costs Trump major public support in 2020?
2%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 2% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 19, 2020
Closes:Nov 1, 2020
Resolved:Nov 4, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 19, 2020
Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?
1% chance
803
Will Ghislaine Maxwell give oral testimony on the Epstein Files or Epstein's relationship with Trump in a hearing at the US Congress before 2026?
1% chance
78
Will Donald Trump pay his settlement to E. Jean Carroll before January 20, 2029?
10% chance
8