Question
What percentage of absentee ballots will be rejected in the 2020 US election?
Resolved:0.8Total Forecasters50
Community Prediction
2.09
(1.48 - 3.19)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <0.5 | 2.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 1.481 | — |
| median | 2.088 | — |
| upper 75% | 3.186 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >20 | 0.8% | — |
What was the final result?0.8
Community Baseline Score
-34.7
Community Peer Score
19.4
Authors:
Opened:Aug 21, 2020
Closes:Nov 3, 2020
Resolves:Aug 20, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 23, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Aug 21, 2020
Closes:Nov 3, 2020
Resolves:Aug 20, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 23, 2020