Question

What percent of ballots cast in the 2020 US general election will be mail-in or absentee?

Resolved:43.1
Total Forecasters65
Community Prediction
45.1
(40.2 - 51.5)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%40.25
median45.1
upper 75%51.53

What was the final result?43.1

Community Baseline Score
53.4
Community Peer Score
11.8
Authors:
Opened:Aug 20, 2020
Closes:Nov 3, 2020
Resolves:Aug 18, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 22, 2020