54 forecasters

If tested, would the most powerful quesion-answering AI system as of 2022-06-01 demonstrate text-based intelligence parity with human 5th graders?

19%chance

Ambiguous

The community gave this a 19% chance, and it resolved Ambiguous.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 26, 2020

Closes:

Jan 2, 2022

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 28, 2020