Question
If Trump is not re-elected President, what will the value of the S&P 500 be on January 1, 2021?
Resolved:3756.07Total Forecasters33
Community Prediction
3333
(3063 - 3610)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <1500 | 0.7% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 3063 | — |
| median | 3333 | — |
| upper 75% | 3610 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >6000 | 0.3% | — |
What was the final result?3756.07
Community Baseline Score
54.4
Community Peer Score
13.2
Authors:
Opened:Aug 29, 2020
Closes:Nov 2, 2020
Resolves:Jan 2, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 31, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Aug 29, 2020
Closes:Nov 2, 2020
Resolves:Jan 2, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 31, 2020
