25 comments
50 forecasters
If no human challenge trials are run for COVID-19 before February 5, 2021, how many total deaths in the US will be directly attributed to COVID-19 in 2021?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Sep 1, 2020
Closes:Feb 4, 2021
Resolved:Mar 4, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 3, 2020
How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?
111k deaths/year
(85.2k - 179k)
111k deaths/year
(85.2k - 179k)
55 forecasters
How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?
74.3k deaths
(27.8k - 219k)
74.3k deaths
(27.8k - 219k)
39 forecasters
If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?
0.854%
(0.396 - 1.44)
0.854%
(0.396 - 1.44)
40 forecasters