16 comments
19 forecasters
What destructiveness rank will LNU Lightning Complex fires reach?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 28, 2020
Closes:Sep 2, 2020
Resolved:Oct 30, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 28, 2020
Will wildfires destroy a total exceeding 10Mha of global tree cover in any year, before 2031?
47% chance
70
If the SF Bay Area is struck with magnitude 7.8 or higher earthquake by 2052, how many people will die?
587 deaths
(86.1 - 3170)
587 deaths
(86.1 - 3170)
8 forecasters
Will there be a major nuclear accident before 2030?
14% chance
334