56 forecasters

Will the recipient of the 2020 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics work for a top cited scholastic institution?

45%chance

45%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 45% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 15, 2020

Closes:

Oct 11, 2020

Resolved:

Oct 12, 2020

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 16, 2020

Economy & Business

2020 Leaderboard

Will a Nobel Prize for Economics be awarded for MMT before 2041?

Will George Church receive a Nobel prize, in any category, before the end of 2035?

Will Amy Wax no longer have tenure at a top-24 US university before 2026?