Question
When will the first human head transplant occur?
Total Forecasters35
Community Prediction
>Sep 2047
(Jan 2042 - >Sep 2047)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Jan 2042 | — |
| median | >Sep 2047 | — |
| upper 75% | >Sep 2047 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Sep 2047 | 65.2% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Sep 8, 2020
Closes:Sep 9, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 9, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 10, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Sep 8, 2020
Closes:Sep 9, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 9, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 10, 2020