91 forecasters

Will a legacy automaker go bankrupt before 2030?

55%chance

Forecast Timeline

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

Opened:

Nov 23, 2020

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 23, 2020

Economy & Business

GM executive says rivals were selling EVs for 'whatever they could get'

Business Insider•Oct 21, 2025

Automotive Industry Adapting After Massive U-Turn in Buyer Behavior

Newsweek•Oct 21, 2025

Why EVs lose value faster than gas cars and why that could be changing

CNBC•Oct 20, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch