Question

Will another paper authored by Phil Rushton be retracted before 2022?

Resolved:Yes

-1

13 comments13

Total Forecasters16

Community Prediction

55%

(52% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

0.1

Community Peer Score

0.6

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Sep 22, 2020

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 24, 2020

Social Sciences

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Will Russell Rickford cease to be a faculty member of Cornell before 2030?

42%

Will the finding in Bastian et al. (2012) that meat consumption is related to the denial of minds replicate?

Will Amy Wax no longer have tenure at a top-24 US university before 2026?

40%

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Sep 22, 2020

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 24, 2020

Social Sciences

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Will Russell Rickford cease to be a faculty member of Cornell before 2030?

42%

Will the finding in Bastian et al. (2012) that meat consumption is related to the denial of minds replicate?

Will Amy Wax no longer have tenure at a top-24 US university before 2026?

40%