Question
How will Trump's popular vote share compare to FiveThirtyEight's prediction?
Resolved:1.782Total Forecasters62
Community Prediction
0.453
(-1.05 - 2.15)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <-8 | 0.7% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | -1.046 | — |
| median | 0.4534 | — |
| upper 75% | 2.151 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >8 | 4.8% | — |
What was the final result?1.782
Community Baseline Score
47.0
Community Peer Score
3.5
Authors:
Opened:Sep 16, 2020
Closes:Nov 2, 2020
Resolves:Dec 15, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 17, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Sep 16, 2020
Closes:Nov 2, 2020
Resolves:Dec 15, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 17, 2020
