62 forecasters

How will Trump's popular vote share compare to FiveThirtyEight's prediction?

community

0.453

result

1.782

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 16, 2020

Closes:

Nov 2, 2020

Resolved:

Dec 15, 2020

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 17, 2020

2020 Leaderboard

Donald Trump's Approval Rating Nosedives In Key Battleground County He Won

Newsweek•Sep 12, 2025

Fox News Poll: Trump’s ratings are strong on border security, weak on the economy

FOX News•Sep 12, 2025

Democrats are doing better than ever in Trump-era special elections

CNN•Sep 10, 2025

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