Question

What will be the effective tax rate for a hypothetical 1 million dollar long-term capital gain in the United States on January 1st 2024?

Resolved:16.7
Total Forecasters31
Community Prediction
20.7
(17.8 - 25.3)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%17.78
median20.75
upper 75%25.35

What was the final result?16.7

Community Baseline Score
80.4
Community Peer Score
10.3
Opened:Sep 18, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolves:Jan 29, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 20, 2020