Question

When will American Metaculus users face an emigration crisis?

8

Total Forecasters48

Community Prediction

>Dec 2030

(>Dec 2030 - >Dec 2030)

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>Dec 2030
community	>Dec 2030	>Dec 2030	>Dec 2030	86.4%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	>Dec 2030	—
median	>Dec 2030	—
upper 75%	>Dec 2030	—
Upper bound
>Dec 2030	86.4%	—

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Authors:

Opened:

Sep 27, 2020

Closes:

Dec 25, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 26, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 29, 2020

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 27, 2020

Closes:

Dec 25, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 26, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 29, 2020