49 comments
175 forecasters
[Short Fuse] Will Amy Coney Barrett be confirmed to the Supreme Court before election day 2020?
90%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 90% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Authors:
Opened:Sep 24, 2020
Closes:Oct 14, 2020
Resolved:Oct 27, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 25, 2020
If Donald Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, how many US Supreme Court Justices will have been appointed by him on January 21, 2029?
24 forecasters
Will the size of the US Supreme Court increase before 2029?
5% chance
159
When will the next (post-Breyer) US Supreme Court vacancy arise?
26 Jul 2026
(04 Oct 2025 - 01 Aug 2027)
26 Jul 2026
(04 Oct 2025 - 01 Aug 2027)
33 forecasters