Question
What fraction of England’s population will live in London at the end of 2022?
Resolved:15.53Total Forecasters39
Community Prediction
16
(15.8 - 16.2)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <12 | 0.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 15.83 | — |
| median | 16 | — |
| upper 75% | 16.18 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >20 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?15.53
Community Baseline Score
57.6
Community Peer Score
12.6
Authors:
Opened:Oct 1, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolves:Nov 23, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 3, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Oct 1, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolves:Nov 23, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 3, 2020