35 comments
89 forecasters
Will "best practice" in treating Coronavirus involve administering Vitamin D before the end of the pandemic?
10%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 10% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 2, 2020
Closes:Jul 1, 2021
Resolved:Jul 10, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 4, 2020
Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?
28% chance
25
Will GiveWell recommend grants of more than $5 million to support delivering chlorine and/or oral rehydration solution and zinc along with vaccine outreach services?
87% chance
18
Will the study of oral rehydration solution and zinc distribution in Sierra Leone find a statistically significant increase in ORS/zinc usage by the recipients?
90% chance
56