Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
203
1.1k
forecasters
112
203 comments
1.1k forecasters
The Taiwan Tinderbox
1 more...
Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?
Predict
Follow
share
embed
50%
chance
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (203)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
3 comments
67 forecasters
Chinese Control of Half of Taiwan by 2030?
13%
chance
1 comment
42 forecasters
China Disavows Force in Taiwan Reunification?
0.1%
chance
9 comments
143 forecasters
Taiwan declares independence by 2035
15%
chance
40 comments
297 forecasters
China Recognizes Taiwan's Sovereignty by 2050
5%
chance
20 comments
164 forecasters
100 Deaths from China/Taiwan Conflict by 2050
69%
chance
14 comments
849 forecasters
China attacks/blockades Taiwan in 2026?
8%
chance
105 comments
262 forecasters
China Controls Taiwan after Invasion
66.7%
chance
9 comments
50 forecasters
US appoints ambassador to independent Taiwan
60%
chance