5 comments
69 forecasters
Will there be a Nobel Prize in Physics awarded for work in string theory before 2050?
11.7%chance
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Oct 5, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 7, 2020
Will Stephen Wolfram, Jonathan Gorard, or Max Piskunov receive the Nobel prize in physics before 2036?
1% chance
127
Will a Nobel Prize for Economics be awarded for MMT before 2041?
6% chance
38
Will a reliable poll of physicists reveal that a majority of those polled accept the many-worlds interpretation by 2050?
39% chance
78