83 comments
226 forecasters
Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump concede in the 2020 US presidential elections by November 17th?
63%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 63% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 19, 2020
Closes:Oct 30, 2020
Resolved:Nov 24, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 20, 2020
Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?
7 forecasters
Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?
6 forecasters
Will Donald J. Trump vacate the U.S. Presidency before noon Eastern Time on January 20, 2029?
24% chance
50