83 comments
226 forecasters
Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump concede in the 2020 US presidential elections by November 17th?
63%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 63% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 19, 2020
Closes:Oct 30, 2020
Resolved:Nov 24, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 20, 2020
Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?
47 forecasters
Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?
45 forecasters
Will Donald J. Trump vacate the U.S. Presidency before noon Eastern Time on January 20, 2029?
22% chance
51