44 comments
128 forecasters
By March 1st, 2021, will Israel and Saudi Arabia announce a peace or normalization agreement?
37%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 37% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 19, 2020
Closes:Oct 30, 2020
Resolved:Mar 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 20, 2020
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Donald Trump's second presidency?
30% chance
22
Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?
59% chance
51
Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?
67% chance
59