Question
Will a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate that has demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT be administered to 10M people by March 1st 2021?
Resolved:YesTotal Forecasters136
Community Prediction
27%
(10% - 40%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?Yes
Community Peer Score
22.8
Authors:
Opened:Oct 19, 2020
Closes:Oct 30, 2020
Resolves:Feb 28, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 20, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Oct 19, 2020
Closes:Oct 30, 2020
Resolves:Feb 28, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 20, 2020