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Higher turnout in 2020 US elections?


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The 59th presidential election for the United States of America will be held on November 3, 2020. Voter turnout is uncertain, in part because of the likely influence of the ongoing pandemic, but also with regard to concerns around potential voter suppression and the efficacy of voting by mail.

This question asks:

Will voter turnout for the US 2020 presidential election be higher than 2016 by 2 percentage points or more?

Resolution will be by credible media reports. In the case of disagreement between different media outlets, the turnout calculated by the Federal Election Commission in its report on Federal Elections in 2020 will be used. See here for a copy of the 2016 report.

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