Metaculus

Your submission is now a Draft.

Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

You have been invited to co-author this question.

When it is ready, the author will submit it for review by Community Moderators. Thanks for helping!

Pending

This question now needs to be reviewed by Community Moderators.

We have high standards for question quality. We also favor questions on our core topic areas or that we otherwise judge valuable. We may not publish questions that are not a good fit.

If your question has not received attention within a week, or is otherwise pressing, you may request review by tagging @moderators in a comment.

You have been invited to co-author this question.

It now needs to be approved by Community Moderators. Thanks for helping!

{{qctrl.question.predictionCount() | abbrNumber}} predictions

{{"myPredictionLabel" | translate}}:

{{qctrl.question.predictionCount() | abbrNumber}} predictions

My score: {{qctrl.question.player_log_score | logScorePrecision}}

Created by: yshemesh and

co-authors

, {{coauthor.username}}

Make a Prediction

Prediction

This question is part of the 20/20 Insight Tournament. To participate, you’ll need to fill out this survey.

Each question comes with a unique survey linked at the top of the question. To be eligible for prizes, you need to fill out each survey for each of the questions in this list. Read more here.

S&P 500 Index (Ticker SPX) is large-cap U.S. equities price index that covers approximately 80% of available market capitalization. It covers 500 large public companies listed on the NYSE or NASDAQ.

The S&P 500 Index closed at 3,230.78 in 2019.

This question asks:

Categories:

on {{qctrl.question.created_time | dateStr}}

Partnered with Ben-Gurion University of the Negev.

Your submission is now a Draft.

You have been invited to co-author this question.

Pending

You have been invited to co-author this question.

{{qctrl.question.title}}

Make a Prediction

Prediction