Question
By January 2021, will Consumer Confidence in the United States return to optimism?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters112
Community Prediction
22%
(15% - 40%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
46.3
Community Peer Score
9.0
Authors:
Opened:Oct 19, 2020
Closes:Oct 30, 2020
Resolves:Feb 14, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 20, 2020
Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?
85%
Will the US-China Tension index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?
73%
Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?
8%
Authors:
Opened:Oct 19, 2020
Closes:Oct 30, 2020
Resolves:Feb 14, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 20, 2020
Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?
85%
Will the US-China Tension index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?
73%
Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?
8%