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COVID-related deaths in Sweden vs. Denmark

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In the beginning months of the COVID-19 crisis, Sweden and Denmark, two Nordic neighbors with extensive shared culture and history, took vastly different approaches to dealing with the pandemic. While Denmark swiftly enacted lockdowns in March, Sweden only recommended to its citizens to work from home and follow social distancing and hygiene guidelines. Current restrictions regarding gatherings, leisure, and the wearing of facemasks, are currently more stringent in Denmark than Sweden.

The rate of new confirmed deaths on a given date is given by the 7-day rolling average of daily new confirmed deaths in the 7 days leading up to and including that date.  

This question asks:

On 1 January 2021, will the rate of new confirmed deaths per million from COVID-19 in Sweden be higher than Denmark?

The question resolves positively if the rolling average of daily new confirmed deaths per million, during the week beginning in 26 December 2020 (inclusive) and ending on 1 January 2021 (inclusive), is higher in Sweden than Denmark.

The question resolves according to the relevant charts on The chart reports the 7-day rolling average of the daily new confirmed COVID-19 deaths per million people. Hence, the question resolves positively if and only if the dot for Sweden for Jan 1st is higher than the dot for Denmark for the same day.

Note: to ensure data integrity on the Our World In Data website, the question will be resolved based on data presented on the site on 1 February 2021.

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