Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
22
70
forecasters
2
22 comments
70 forecasters
Politics
1 more...
Will Margaret Ferrier resign as MP before April 2021?
Follow
share
embed
Resolved
No
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (22)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
24 comments
199 forecasters
Scotland leaves UK by 2030
0.7%
chance
2 comments
20 forecasters
Will Rayner join "Your Party"?
4%
chance
5 comments
30 forecasters
Will there be a Labour Party leadership election before 2027?
93.6%
chance
15 comments
74 forecasters
UK Labour to have female leader before 2030?
43%
chance
28 comments
823 forecasters
Will Starmer leave office in 2026?
80%
chance
7 comments
78 forecasters
Which party will win the Makerfield by-election?
Conservative Party
0.1%
Labour Party
74.8%
Reform UK
24.1%
Restore Britain
0.7%
3 others
16 comments
31 forecasters
When will Starmer cease to be PM?
Current estimate
20 Sep 2026
2 comments
16 forecasters
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene seek statewide office in Georgia before 2029?
29.3%
chance