91 forecasters

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

13%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

Oct 15, 2020

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 17, 2020

Is Danny Kruger right that the Tory party ‘is over’?

Spectator (UK)•Sep 16, 2025

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