142 forecasters

Will there be a terrorist attack in an OECD founding member state causing more than 3 deaths between November 3rd 2020 and up until March 1st 2021?

62%chance

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 62% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 19, 2020

Closes:

Oct 30, 2020

Resolved:

Mar 6, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 20, 2020