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Democratic majority in the US senate
This question is part of the 20/20 Insight Tournament. To participate, you’ll need to fill out this survey.
Currently, with 53 seats, the Republican Party occupies a majority of the 100 seats in the Senate.
The 2020 United States Senate elections will be held on November 3, 2020, with the 33 Class 2 seats of the Senate being contested in regular elections and 2 seats in special elections. In all Republicans will be defending 23 seats, and Democrats 12 seats.
According to Vox:
Democrats need to win back at least three seats to reclaim the Senate majority, but they are also defending Sen. Doug Jones in deep-red Alabama, where Trump has a 28-point net approval rating. If Jones loses, that means Democrats need to win four seats and the White House (where their party's vice president could vote to break ties in the Senate), or net five seats without the White House advantage.
This question asks:
Will Democrats win a majority in the senate in the 2020 elections?
The question resolves positively if Democrats hold 51 seats or more in the Senate according to the official election results.
For the purpose of this question, counts of Democratic seats includes all independent senators who caucus with the Democrats.
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