Question

Will polling in the US presidential election miss the true results by 3 percentage points or more?

Resolved:No
17
51
Total Forecasters119
Community Prediction
40%
(25% - 55%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 40%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
27.0
Community Peer Score
33.3
Authors:
yshemesh
Opened:Oct 19, 2020
Closes:Oct 30, 2020
Resolves:Dec 15, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 20, 2020
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
Politics
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