Question

When will the next US Supreme Court vacancy arise?

Resolved:30 Jun 2022 11:00
Total Forecasters101
Community Prediction
04 Aug 2022
(02 Jun 2022 - 20 Oct 2022)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%02 Jun 2022
median04 Aug 2022
upper 75%20 Oct 2022
Upper bound
>01 Jan 20252.9%

What was the final result?30 Jun 2022 11:00

Community Baseline Score
43.1
Community Peer Score
36.8
Authors:
Opened:Oct 29, 2020
Closes:Jan 26, 2022
Resolves:Jun 29, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 31, 2020