Question
When will the next US Supreme Court vacancy arise?
Resolved:30 Jun 2022 11:00Total Forecasters101
Community Prediction
04 Aug 2022
(02 Jun 2022 - 20 Oct 2022)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 02 Jun 2022 | — |
median | 04 Aug 2022 | — |
upper 75% | 20 Oct 2022 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>01 Jan 2025 | 2.9% | — |
What was the final result?30 Jun 2022 11:00
Community Baseline Score
43.1
Community Peer Score
36.8
Authors:
Opened:Oct 29, 2020
Closes:Jan 26, 2022
Resolves:Jun 29, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 31, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Oct 29, 2020
Closes:Jan 26, 2022
Resolves:Jun 29, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 31, 2020