7 comments
119 forecasters
Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?
5%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 5% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Sep 9, 2017
Closes:Feb 15, 2018
Resolved:Jan 1, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 10, 2017
Will a cyberattack targeting AI systems cause a significant power blackout in the United States before 2028?
11% chance
45
Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?
60% chance
47
Will there be a large-scale power outage in the Continental Europe synchronous grid affecting multiple countries before 2028?
37% chance
18