15 comments
61 forecasters
Will a major network call the election prematurely?
13%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 13% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 24, 2020
Closes:Nov 3, 2020
Resolved:Dec 15, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 25, 2020
Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?
7 forecasters
Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?
15% chance
131
Will the House of Representatives seat a legislator who was not certified as the winner of their election before July 1, 2027?
10% chance
125