Question

What percentage of Legislative Assembly seats will the Australian Labor Party win at the next Victorian state election?

Resolved:64.36781609

28 comments28

Total Forecasters40

Community Prediction

54.2

(47.8 - 60.3)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	47.76	54.23	60.31
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	47.76	—
median	54.23	—
upper 75%	60.31	—

What was the final result?64.36781609

Community Baseline Score

61.9

Community Peer Score

-0.5

Authors:

Grigfall

Opened:

Dec 8, 2020

Closes:

Nov 18, 2022

Resolves:

Dec 15, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 10, 2020

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