29 comments
127 forecasters
Will a US Supreme Court Justice be impeached and removed before 2030?
4%chance
The community sees this as a toss-up.
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Nov 30, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 30, 2020
Will a U.S. federal judge be impeached in a partisan vote in the following years?
4 forecasters
Will a federal judge be impeached by Republican Representatives in a partisan vote before January 3, 2027?
18% chance
443
When will the next (post-Breyer) US Supreme Court vacancy arise?
19 Sep 2026
(31 Dec 2025 - 30 Sep 2027)
19 Sep 2026
(31 Dec 2025 - 30 Sep 2027)
32 forecasters