136 comments
175 forecasters
In the 2020 US Presidential election, when will the losing candidate concede? [closes 2021-01-20]
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Nov 6, 2020
Closes:Jan 21, 2021
Resolved:Jan 7, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 7, 2020
Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?
7 forecasters
Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?
5 forecasters
Will the House of Representatives seat a legislator who was not certified as the winner of their election before July 1, 2027?
10% chance
125