13 comments
50 forecasters
Will Dr. Ezekiel Emanuel retract his view that he wants to die by 75?
50%chance
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Nov 17, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Sep 6, 2033
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 18, 2020
Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?
17% chance
16
Will the CDC adopt a Health at Every Size approach towards addressing obesity before 2035?
15% chance
34
Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?
58% chance
281