210 forecasters

By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?

10%chance

10%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 10% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 5, 2017

Closes:

Sep 30, 2018

Resolved:

Oct 2, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 5, 2017

🏆 2016-2025 Leaderboard

Catalonia’s independence movement continues to grow as the next generation step up

Canary•Sep 24, 2025

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