57 forecasters

When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?

Current estimate

03 Mar 2026

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Nov 13, 2020

Closes:

Jan 31, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2040

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 15, 2020

Economy & Business

Plug-In Hybrids; A Practical Bridge To Electrification Despite Critics

Forbes•Oct 26, 2025

GM CEO Mary Barra says there's 'over capacity' in China's EV market

Business Insider•Oct 23, 2025

Study Concludes Plug-In Hybrid Cars Didn’t Deliver On Emissions. Why?

Forbes•Oct 22, 2025

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